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Author Topic:   Eastern Front WW II Attrition Revisited
Tero
Senior Member
posted 08-01-2006 03:40 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Tero     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Originally posted by Andreas:

quote:
I have one as well, of the same kind: if Stalin had not purged his officer corps, and had not abolished the Mech Corps, and had not interfered continually in operations, and had not trusted Hitler until 22 June 1941, and had built up a defense in depth along the border in prepared positions reaching as far as the Dnepr and the Leningrad approaches, the Soviets would never have lost the border battles, and Germany would have lost Barbarossa there and then).

How does the attack on Finland affect your fantasy ? The Red Army (relative) failure to perform during Winter War was the single most important factor which made Hitler think war on two fronts was doable at such early stage.

quote:
That is leading into a discussion of comparative capability, and the issue is not as clear-cut. The problem was not a lack of strength within the divisions, but a lack of divisions. If you can not comprehend that these are two fundamentally different problems, I am not sure how to make it simpler.

IMO the guestion is (or should be) wether the restructuring was done to increase the number of available divisions (to make up for losses of the formations) or to keep the existing divisions in full paper strenght (to reduce the red tape friction and hubbub about demands for replacements across the board). Increased infantry firepower (MG42, more integral support weaponry etc) did/does influence the comparative effectivness equation but the fact remains even the new organization left the Germans still short on both divisions and consequently short on men.

quote:
There was no wastage of armoured units at Kursk. 248 tanks and Stugs were lost until the mid of July on the WHOLE eastern front, less than 8% of the number present at Zitadelle, and well within the capability for replacement. The tanks and Stugs were lost after Kursk, when an additional 1083 were lost, equalling the capability for replacement. As a result the total number of tanks in the German arsenal stayed flat during the summer(frontline strength was much worse). That is during the period which you believe proves that the German army could have won the war by using an attritional strategy, if it had continued in the same way. Data from Toeppel's dissertation 'Die Offensive gegen Kursk 1943'.

I would say at that point in time the German forces would have been (in fact were) up the creek either way: low losses meant the replacement schedule kept the units in relative good strenght but they had to use older/outdated equipment longer while high losses would have meant there would not have been nearly enough replacements produced to keep the units up to strenght eventhough the replacements they would get would be of better caliber.

The high losses coupled with adequate production enabled the Red Army armoured units to upgrade and keep at full strenght at fairly fast pace withing the same timeperiod the Germans had to use older models just to keep up to some sort of adequate strenght.


[This message has been edited by Tero (edited 08-01-2006).]

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Andreas
Senior Member
posted 01-04-2007 09:27 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Andreas     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
How does the attack on Finland affect your fantasy ? The Red Army (relative) failure to perform during Winter War was the single most important factor which made Hitler think war on two fronts was doable at such early stage.

I don't care Tero. It is a fantasy conjured up to show how ludricous these fantasies are. But if it makes you happy, in this fantasy the Red Army won the Winter War in one day because all the Finns ran away from the frontline asking for asylum in Sweden. The Red Army then marched into Helsinki to the sound of the Internationale being played, handing out candy to Finnish children.

Happy now?

All the best

Andreas

[This message has been edited by Andreas (edited 01-04-2007).]

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I.M.A
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posted 01-08-2007 09:35 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for I.M.A     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Joseph Scott:
With reagrd to Jason's original contention that the Germans falied to expand their military suffiently:

It is not that simple at all. There was an ongoing debate between Hitler and the German Army on this point, begining with Fritsch and Beck back in 1938, and contining all throughout the war.
Oops sorry to quote the entire post. I just wanted to say I am in agreement with the contention that the rapid expansion of the Wehrmacht prior to the war did lead to a decline in overall quality.
Also, regarding your statement about the Fw 190, are you sure it measured up in quality with the P 51? Just a nitpick, I know, but I would like to see some evidence for that
Best Regards
I.M.A

Hitler wanted a bigger army before Poland even happened of course. But the army sizes he demanded were flatly refused by Fritsch and Beck on the following grounds: doing so would have mandated reducing the training time of officers from 2 years to 6 months. It was the admanat opinion of the army that two yaeras was the absoluite minimum amount of time neccessary to train a good officer.

Fritsch told Hitler that he could not get the kind of army expansion he wanted before 1943.

Anything else would have resulted in a possibly irrepairable quality loss.

Throught the war, attempts to expand or even replace army strength was conditioned by the need to have fully trained officer cadres to lead such units.

When such things weren't done, such as with the Luftwaffe Field Divisions, with officers from Luftwaffe air anfd support units, not trained in the mode of warfare they were fighting, the rseklts were disaterous, and the units in question were never anything like up to army standard.

So, while the Germans could have built up their army more rapidly, doing so would have almots vertainly reduced it's quality.

And that would have had an important effect on the attrition exchange rations upon which the premise if built.

They could only tarina officers so fats, and to ensure the quality of that training time, they could only expand their training schools so quickly, since they had to train more onstructors (and even lengthier process to train more officers.

And this isn't limited to officers, though it has the greatest effect there. The Germans, to replace the losses they suffred in 1943-44, had to continually cut corners on training of ordinary soldiers. The army that manned the Wsetwall in late '44 and fought in the Ardenness was nothing like it's predeccesor in early '44, much less pervious years. Basic soldier skills continued to decline, as less time was devoted to training.

Also, as far as equipment, especially tanks: the Germans couldn't just build and drive more tanks by making less sewing machines, or what not.

As Rich has already noted, the whole proces of expanding a particular indutry is expensive and time consuming.

Again, in 1938, Hitler wanted to have a British style all Mechanized/Motorised army. And available data indicated to him that Germany could, if other areas were sacrificed, build enough trucks to do this.

But, were, Fritsch and Beck wanted to know, would Hitler get the fuel for such a force to move?

The Germans were constantly trying to increase their synthetic fuel production, and they succeeded admirably. But it is very questionable of they could have done so much faster than they did. Without adequate fuel, extra tanks in 1941 or 42 make no great difference.

The Germans limited the built up of mehcanized.motorised firces because they did not have access to the fuel. The amount of time and effort Hilter focused on trying to get to the Caususes (ie, the entire southern front, Stalingrad, and all that) should make that clear.

As should what happened to the Luftwaffe. The Luftwaffe had no desire to reduce pilot training. But fuel shortages meant that pilots logged fewer and few flight hours before being sent into combat. The aces of the glory days dwindled, as they found themselves having to babysit squadrons of newbies who just could't fly at the old standard.

The same problem is present with regard to building more aircrraft, as suggested in Gilbert's post. They only had so much fuel to go around.

Finally, their is the material part of it, literally. Consider tank armour steel: From 1940-42, a 55-80mm plate of armour had specification BHN (Brinnell Hardness Number) of 294-338. That is, the armour was expected to be that hard, when tested, to be acceptable for service.

However, to meet the increased production runs of 1943-44, the Germans had to drop their specifuications for that plate thickness to 266-311, a nearly 9% drop in hardness.

Or aircraft: to achive the 1944 fighter production levels, the Germans switched production away from the Fw-190, an aircfrft that was on par with the best Allied fighters, like the P-51, to to concentrate on the simpler, cheaper Bf/Me-109, a plane whcih, while good, was pretty well outmatched by aircraft like the P-51.

In short, had the Germans done as Jason advises, and built up their army as fast as thei population and indutry could manage, (ie, at 1943-44 levels), they would have had to sacrifice quality in everything, from tank armour to fighter models, right down to the critical area of troop quality.

And again, they would not have been able to drive all those new tanks, nor fly all those new aircraft, much less all the trucks those Panzer divisions needed, and thus would not have been able to train all those drivers and pilots, either.

It is for all those reasons, along with the other important socio-political realities concerning German public opinion, that the Germans did not expand their armed forces at such rates.

Thus, the contention that the Germans didn't fully mobilize their resources because they were overconfident is just wrong.

They, like their opponents, made a series of decsions throughout the war, concerning trade offs between things like aircraft or tank production, army size vs. quality, and a thousand others They may not have made the best decision each time. In fact, we can be sure they didn't. But there is no basis for accusing them of ignoring things out of overconfidence, or not "really trying."


[This message has been edited by I.M.A (edited 01-08-2007).]

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I.M.A
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posted 01-08-2007 09:46 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for I.M.A     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by I.M.A:

[This message has been edited by I.M.A (edited 01-08-2007).]


Sorry, did not mean to quote the entire post.
I just wanted to say I am in agreement with your contention about the Heer's suffering a decline in quality because of the too rapid pre war expansion.
Also, regarding your statement that the Fw190 measured up to the P51 in quality, are you absolutely sure about that?!! Don't mean to nitpick but I really would like some clarification on that point
Regards I.M.A

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Bastables
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posted 01-12-2007 08:41 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Bastables     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by I.M.A:
Sorry, did not mean to quote the entire post.
I just wanted to say I am in agreement with your contention about the Heer's suffering a decline in quality because of the too rapid pre war expansion.
Also, regarding your statement that the Fw190 measured up to the P51 in quality, are you absolutely sure about that?!! Don't mean to nitpick but I really would like some clarification on that point
Regards I.M.A

Yes it seems an odd statment to make as of 1944 the high cover groups of the luftwaffe which were given the mission of shooting USAAF fighters to cover Fw190 sturmbock anti bomber groups were equiped with various versions of Bf 109's with high altitude superchargers.
The issue being that the radial BMW motors were much less effective at 5-6000+ metre's than the DB's that powered the Bf-109s. 5-6000m being where most of the the bombers operated from and their P-51 cover.

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Andreas
Senior Member
posted 01-15-2007 04:54 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Andreas     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
You owe me a turn Basty!

All the best

Andreas

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